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Chronic Failures: Treasures in Plain Sight

March 23, 2020 6:12:41 PM EDT
Chronic Failures are the Treasures Hidden in Plain Sight
Chronic Failures are the Treasures Hidden in Plain Sight

Chronic Failures: Hidden Treasures!

When we look at the widely used and misunderstood tool of Root Cause Analysis (RCA), we should reflect its interpretation in our own environments. Think about it: when is RCA typically requested and applied in our environment? Based on my experience, it is typically requested and applied when:

  • Someone is injured
  • There is a catastrophic damage
  • There is an environmental incident
  • There is a “near miss” with high severity potential
  • There is public scrutiny over an issue that makes the news
  • There is a quality issue that a valued customer is complaining about

What do all these issues have in common? They are high visibility events that require immediate action at the request of authority. Usually in these circumstances, resources, time, and money are not an issue because of the level of management that is requesting the analyses be done. Typical scenarios tend to focus on the urgent, and not the important.

When utilizing an analysis tool we call Opportunity Analysis (OA), consider a one-time fire at a facility that results in $500,000 worth of damages. Costs such as these are unanticipated and not part of the budget, yet we almost always find the cash to recover. The accountants typically will use creative techniques to soften the blow such as amortizing the cost of the event over a 20-year period. The resulting impact would be viewed as $25,000/yr which is much more acceptable and digestible. Using the OA format, such a line item might look like Figure 1.

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Now consider a chronic event such as conveyor belts that trip in a mining operation. On their individual impact they may take 15 minutes to reset. This 15-min period requires the attention of a person, which at a typical standard rate ($40/hr with benefits included) results in a cost per event of $10 (0.25 hr x $40/hr labor rate).

Because the event simply requires a person to find and reset the tripped conveyor system, generally no additional parts costs are involved. However, the 15-min delay causes a production loss upstream in the processing area, which equates to $5000/hr. Fifteen minutes now is worth $1250/occurrence (0.25 hr x $5000/hr production loss). So, each 15-min occurrence is now worth $1260 ($10 labor + $1250 lost production). Still considered a relatively low impact, right?

Now consider on this particular conveying system, we experience 40 such stoppages a week or 2080 for the year. Now we are looking at an annual impact to the bottom line of $2,620,800 ($1260/occurrence x 2080 occurrences).

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The chronic event is approximately 100 times more costly, yet which event gets the most attention – the one-time fire or the continual tripping of a conveyor system? We all know the answer; the fire gets the attention because it is highly visible and requires an urgent response. The chronic event has been accepted as a cost of doing business and is considered part of the job. Herein lies the problem. Chronic events are rarely aggregated on an annual basis. They are typically viewed on their individual impacts.

Even bad actor lists are typically indicative of a short-term perspective. Because what may be viewed as important today, will not be as important next week (because something ‘more’ important cropped up).

Consider if we were to apply this OA format to an operation, a process, or a facility. We would seek out these hidden “nuggets” and determine their annual impact in dollars. This would tell us what the “carrot” was (the business case), and whether or not they were worth conducting a formal RCA on. Experience shows through the Pareto Principle, that when such a list is aggregated, the 20 percent or less of the events identified account for 80 percent or more of the dollars lost. This is a good technique to provide focus for a disciplined RCA effort.

So, where does the data come from to populate this type of spreadsheet? There are numerous means by which such lists can be developed, but how confident are we in the data. Think about this day and time, and where such information can reside: our SAP system, APM system, CMMS, etc. How many of us really believe that such systems accurately reflect the all the field activity, especially when it comes to the recording of every chronic event?

It has been my experience that when a chronic event occurs, from the perception of the person tasked to fix the undesirable event, it takes more time to input the information into the recording system that it does to fix the problem. Usually a negative connotation of the information system is involved, and it is deemed too cumbersome, so we will just fix the problem and be on our way. After all, that is what we are pressured to do – fix it and get production going again.

While we can get some information from such on-line monitoring systems, we must recognize that they are not all inclusive at this time. Only the people closest to the work will truly have the knowledge of the most chronic events. It is in their heads, not on paper!

Simple Chronic Failure Calculators like shown in Figure 3, make it easy for anyone to instantly calculate the annual cost of chronic failures. People in the field simply put in the failures they are experience, how often they are occurring/year and average cost/occurrence. This makes a very quick and compelling business case to a finance-minded person, to justify doing RCA on chronic failures that are otherwise hidden in plain sight.

Robert (Bob) J. Latino is CEO of Reliability Center, Inc. Bob has been a practitioner, trainer, author and international speaker on the topics of Reliability and Root Cause Analysis for over 30 years. He can be contacted at +1 804 458-0645 or Connect with Bob on LinkedIn at–bob–latino–3411097. Visit our website at to learn more

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